ascot-royal-crowds-2011

ROYAL ASCOT FORECAST FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19th

2.30 Albany Stakes (Class 1) (Group 3) (Fillies) 6f.

France and the USA predominate here. Wesley Ward who won the Queen Mary on Wednesday enters Back at the Ranch 6/1 which must be respected. WW’s horse came second in this last year and one must assume that Back at the Ranch will perform well here today. Illuminate 7/2 trained by Richard Hannon has been the talked about horse for this race having shown his credentials at a Salisbury conditions race recently at 5f. This race is a furlong longer. Clive Cox entered Our Joy 10/1 and Wesley Ward trained Laxfield Road 8/1 could be there or thereabouts.

Main bet: BACK AT THE RANCH 6/1 each way No: 3 on the racecard.

3.O5 King Edward V11 Stakes (Class 1) (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) 1m 4f

I do have to admit being uncertain about this race and would not necessarily have chosen Aiden O Brien trained Ol’ Man River 3/1 as a forecasted winner, having failed in the 2000gns and Dante, except that with Ryan Moore aboard nothing it seems can be discounted. Balios 5/1 looks good having scored at Newmarket with a second place follow-up on the all weather recently but I like the look of the Sir Michael Stoute trained Frankie Dettori ridden and lightly raced Stravagante 9/4.which won a 2f less distance race credibly at an Epsom handicap and demonstrated strength at the finish.

Main bet: STRAVAGANTE 9/4 to win No: 7on the racecard.

3.40 Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) 6fl.

18 runners thunder to post and with some confidence I would not put anyone off backing Wesley Ward’s Hootenanny 9/2 which stormed to victory at the Windsor Castle stakes last year and the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf at Santa Anna and second at the Prix Morny and a win at Keenland in April. Surely that form must bode well for this return to Ascot? Having said that this will not be a sure fire thing as Tiggy Wiggy 11/2 must also be respected. Front runner Tiggy Wiggy, winner of 6 out of 8 starts will find this drop back to 6f more to his liking. Others are worthy of mention, of course, but I have to go for Hootenanny to win this race especially as Ryan Moore will be doing the steering. Anthem Alexander 7/1 beat Tiggy Wiggy in the Queen Mary last year and won a good Gp 3 at Naas recently and will like fast ground, so is in with a shout.

Main bet: HOOTENANNY 9/2 to win No: 7 on the racecard.

4.20 Coronation Stakes (Class 1) (Group 1) (Fillies) 1m round.

5 out of 7 for the Aga Khan owned Christophe Soumillon ridden Ervedya 100/30 which is a consummate miler sets the scene for me. Arabian Queen 16/1 which has recently suffered from a sinus problem but now recovered as witnessed by a Gp2 win at Newmarket, could be in for a shout at very good odds with Silvestre de Sousa aboard. Aidn O Brien trained Found 7/4 should certainly not be discounted especially with the red hot Ryan Moore steering.

Main bet: ERVEDYA 100/30 No: 2 on the racecard. Small each way on Arabian Queen 16/1 No: 1 on the racecard.

5.00 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) 1m 4fl.

4yr olds have a fantastic record in this race. 19 thunder to post in this handicap the outcome of which is extremely difficult to predict. Astronereus 9/1 is certainly a contender who handles Ascot well and won at the Newmarket Guineas meeting recently preceded by a creditable 4th but upped 7lb for the privilege. Igider 8/1 showed a good turn of foot winning a June maiden at Doncaster following an uncertain start but that can be forgiven as having only run 5 races. The drawback is that the win was from only 6 runners but nevertheless carries an additional 9lb as a result but there is no denying that there could be more to come. Arab Dawn 11/2 put up an eyecatching return at Newmarket and should go very close. Dashing Star 12/1 which has been in the frame a few times could also pull this out of the bag for a place at least at good odds and if anyone can do it Ryan Moore can.

Main bet: IGIDER 8/1 each way No: 17 on the racecard.

5.35 Queen’s Vase (Listed Race) (Class 1) 2miles.

Two wins at Salisbury and Haydock preceded by a well run 3rd at Newbury marks Her Majesty the Queen’s horse Fabricate 6/1 as a serious contender here. It would be wonderful for Her Majesy to get one in the bag at her meeting. Great Glen 10/1 is another to consider even though has yet to score a win but stamina is in no doubt which is much needed for this race at 2miles. However, Fabricate last 2 wins give it the nod for me.

Main bet: FABRICATE 6/1 each way No: 4 on the racecard.

With Compliments
Brian Smith FCIM Dip CAM – International Marketing Consultant
01344 621825

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